Follow independent money manager John Pugliano as he analyzes the stock market and discusses how he trades his portfolio and builds personal wealth. John has over 35 years investing experience, he's an entrepreneur, author, inventor and the founder of Investable Wealth LLC. Visit the podcast website at: www.wealthsteading.com
Behold wars and rumors of wars 240205
Episode 443: Why are investors and Wall Street ignoring the clear and present danger of geopolitical instability and escalation of war?
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
2/6/2024 • 20 minutes, 46 seconds
Chinese Stocks so bad they’re good? 240130
Episode 442: Once again foreign, Emerging Markets and Chinese stocks are being touted as the next best investing opportunity. Maybe…maybe not.
https://thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/2024/01/21/tdi-podcast-ai-ai-o-852/
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
1/30/2024 • 10 minutes, 5 seconds
Small Cap Stocks are withering as investors pile in 240116
Episode 441: Small Cap stocks are the canary-in-the-coalmine early warning system of the stock market and right now they’re underperforming. As an alternative to the IWM consider SPSM which screens for profitability.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
1/17/2024 • 22 minutes, 31 seconds
No PREDICTION- just a THOUGHT for the New Year 240104
Episode 440: Happy New Year !!! Here’s some thoughts on closing out 2023 and ringing in 2024.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
1/4/2024 • 8 minutes, 27 seconds
LIVE: 2024 Investing Themes 231220
Episode 439: 2024 Investing Themes- review & commentary
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
12/20/2023 • 24 minutes, 7 seconds
Fed Pivot…what did they actually say? 231217
Episode 438: Fed isn’t planning to hit 2% inflation target until end of 2026. Fed rate cuts in 2024 would keep the yield curve inverted.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
12/17/2023 • 15 minutes, 27 seconds
LAYOFFs are on the rise 231211
Episode 437: Layoffs at smaller companies appear to be on the rise. That’s good and bad news.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
12/11/2023 • 19 minutes, 10 seconds
High Yield JUNK Bonds 231206
Episode 436: High Yield is a marketing euphemism for JUNK. I don’t often buy bond or bond funds, but when I do, I only purchase INVESTMENT GRADE.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
12/6/2023 • 17 minutes, 48 seconds
Santa Claus rally came early…will it last? 231129
Episode 435: The Santa Claus rally is a seasonal phenomenon mostly driven by tax policy. Like New Year’s resolutions, it usually quickly fades…leading to the 2nd Quarter phenomenon known as “sell in May and go away”.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
11/29/2023 • 10 minutes, 47 seconds
Save at least 15% 231127
Episode 434: In the early stages of building wealth, the key factor is SAVING. Saving is also one of the few things that you have influence to control.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
11/27/2023 • 20 minutes, 58 seconds
Become fire-proof like Sam Altman 231122
Episode 433: How to become a master craftsman in your career.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
11/23/2023 • 15 minutes, 56 seconds
Walmart drops 8%…harbinger for the MARKET? 231119
Episode 432: This past week Walmart stock climbed to a record high, then abruptly retreated, to close down more than 8%.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
11/19/2023 • 13 minutes, 22 seconds
Earnings estimate beat SHENANIGANS 231115
Episode 431: In yesterday’s session the Market had an impressive breakout, in all aspects. Price, volume and breadth were all superior. We’ll see if it holds. I’m skeptical of the foundation of all this enthusiasm- namely that rates are going lower and profits higher. In today’s episode I’ll discuss the shell game of earnings estimate beats, with an example of Home Depot.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
11/15/2023 • 17 minutes, 5 seconds
Sideways stock market 231113
Episode 430: The S&P 500 peaked in January 2022. It’s worse for the RUSSELL2000, with a current price at below pre-Pandemic levels.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ------------------------------------------------------
11/13/2023 • 11 minutes, 54 seconds
CEO fears & IPO flops 231018
Episode 429: Corporate CEOs are becoming less optimistic about 2024 and recent IPOs are a disaster.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
10/18/2023 • 11 minutes, 59 seconds
Market up on Israel-Hamas war…it’s all about interest rates 231010
Episode 428: Wall Street is obsessed with the possibility of lower interest rates.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
10/14/2023 • 11 minutes, 29 seconds
Big LOSERS on Wall Street 230923
Episode 427: The Market has been down for two consecutive months…how bad will it get?
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
9/23/2023 • 23 minutes, 45 seconds
Lowering interest rates won’t solve the problem 230908
Episode 426: Interest rates and monetary policy can’t solve the global supply conundrum.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
9/10/2023 • 22 minutes, 59 seconds
Anemic German Economy & Future Opportunity 230831
Episode 425: The slowdown in Germany is characteristic of the general global malaise. But...German industrial giants have survived multiple world wars, they'll survive this current situation.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
8/31/2023 • 15 minutes, 18 seconds
Fed Jackson Hole Summit- Structural Shifts in the Global Economy 230829
Episode 424: The major indexes have regained their 50dma but global trade is slowing as evident by the decline in exports from China, Germany & Japan. Short term markets are exuberant for peak interest rates but are ignoring the risk of structural shifts in the global economy.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
8/29/2023 • 12 minutes, 24 seconds
Is the AI hype fading? 230814
Episode 423: If the handful of tech stocks that have been propping up the Market are starting to stall, then perhaps the S&P 500 is headed lower.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
8/14/2023 • 16 minutes, 47 seconds
Why do good stocks go down with bad? 230803
Episode 422: The Fitch downgrade of US debt caused almost all asset classes, including precious metals to go down…why?
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
8/3/2023 • 12 minutes, 48 seconds
Listener Question & Headlines you need to pay attention to 230725
Episode 421: Listener question- why aren’t I investing in Small Cap stocks? Headlines- FOMC, 2nd Qtr Earnings, Leading Economic Indicators, Grain Prices, Multiple Expansion, Chinese & Japanese stocks….all that and more.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
7/25/2023 • 25 minutes, 35 seconds
Pitiful state of the Global Economy 230711
Episode 420: Economic forecasts, PMI surveys, as well as market indicators like Metal & Petroleum prices are all pointing to a very mediocre global economy.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
7/11/2023 • 14 minutes, 7 seconds
Think of Money Market Funds as Dividend Paying Stocks 230709
Episode 419: Money Market Funds are paying yields at 15 year highs…that’s where most of my money is currently parked.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
7/9/2023 • 31 minutes, 20 seconds
9th Anniversary Celebration 230704
Episode 418: Today we celebrate nine years of Wealthsteading… a daily disciplined methodical approach to taking stewardship of your assets.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
7/4/2023 • 13 minutes, 49 seconds
LIVE PRESENTATION: where’s the recessions? 230628
Episode 417: The is the audio portion of a midyear economic presentation given on June 27 2023; the full video can be seen at:
https://youtu.be/jm7LAbdbiHc
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
6/28/2023 • 40 minutes, 54 seconds
Fed Rate Hike…pivot…pause…skip 230613
Episode 416: Regardless of what the Fed does with interest rates, the global economy is slowing, inflation is sticky, and zombie companies are starting to file bankruptcy.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
6/13/2023 • 14 minutes, 20 seconds
A lot of agony out there-Charlie Munger Berkshire Hathaway 230605
Episode 415: “A lot of real estate isn’t so good any more...We have a lot of troubled office buildings, a lot of troubled shopping centers, a lot of troubled other properties. There’s a lot of agony out there.” Charlie Munger, VC, Berkshire Hathaway
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
6/5/2023 • 21 minutes, 46 seconds
Individual Investor ADVANTAGE 230516
Episode 414: The key advantage that individual investors have over large institutional investors is the ability to move to CASH in anticipation of a market decline.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
-----------------------------------------------
5/16/2023 • 18 minutes, 49 seconds
LISTENER QUESTION: why park money in a Money Market Fund vs CD or Treasury? 230511
Episode 413: I park my money temporarily in a Money Market Fund to preserve the principal and keep it 100% liquid. The interest rate is a secondary consideration.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ --------------------------------------------------
5/11/2023 • 21 minutes, 17 seconds
Where’s the RECESSION? Where’s the RALLY? 230510
Episode 412: The Market has been stagnant. I continue to believe there is more downside risk than short term upside potential.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
5/10/2023 • 18 minutes, 52 seconds
Stock Market review & preparing for new leadership 230422
Episode 411: The Economy & Stock Market are at an inflection point…they could break up or down…my bias is to the downside. But either way, now is the time to prepare for the new company leadership that will eventually emerge.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
4/22/2023 • 25 minutes, 38 seconds
Hedging against a downturn comes with a cost 230414
Episode 410: Hedging strategies like selling short, buying options contracts or inverse & leveraged ETFs can be costly and might result in a steep loss. Simply parking your money in a cash equivalent money market fund might be the least expense risk mitigation strategy.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:
https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
4/14/2023 • 17 minutes, 4 seconds
Profits are headed LOWER 230412
Episode 409: The Market is seemingly complacent about declining corporate profits. Did I mention that I’m ~ 90% in cash?
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
4/12/2023 • 22 minutes, 52 seconds
There’s no money in the banks…oh my! 230405
Episode 408: The fact that banks don’t have enough money to cover deposits isn’t a failure of the system, it’s a design element.
Want to become rich? Stop thinking about wealth in terms of currency…production is the source of wealth.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
4/5/2023 • 14 minutes, 27 seconds
Understanding the Business Cycle 230317
Episode 407: To reiterate…we’re not yet seeing a Black Swan event or a failure of the system. What’s happening in the economy is what should be anticipated during a Fed tightening cycle. What you’re witnessing isn’t a failure of the system, it’s the way the system is designed to work (by the Central Planners).
We’re currently in the contraction phase of the Business Cycle.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ------------------------------------------------------
3/17/2023 • 26 minutes, 46 seconds
Orchestrated recession…learn to play the game 230311
Episode 406: Panic is suddenly gripping the Stock Market with fears of bank failures. Do you think Warren Buffett is scared? Or do you think he’s plotting how to make a HUGE profit on this crisis?
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
3/11/2023 • 9 minutes
Stock Market keeps FAILING at key resistance levels 230227
Episode 405: The S&P 500 is again struggling to breakout above 4,000, as it hangs between its 50dma and 200dma. Over the past year, the Market has failed to form a consistent “V” or “W” recovery, which is extremely unusual. My concern is that the Stock Market is treading on thin ice.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
2/28/2023 • 13 minutes, 10 seconds
Millennials need to experience a DOTCOM bubble 230217
Episode 404: Seasonal effect, short squeeze, relief rally, dead cat bounce, suckers rally, catching a falling knife…all that and more in this episode.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
Episode 403: I’m concerned about two issues with the stock market.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
2/10/2023 • 27 minutes, 35 seconds
Not enough workers are being fired 230206
Episode 402: There’s been a notable shift in Stock Market technical indicators since Friday’s “unexpectedly” high employment numbers.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
2/7/2023 • 11 minutes, 37 seconds
Inflation is coming down BUT the VALUE of money is DANGEROUSLY high 230205
Episode 401: Money is the most expensive in 16 years and the 3rd highest in over a generation. Regardless of Fed monetary policy, if corporate profits continue to decline, then just as during the DotCom Bubble and the Housing Bubble, the Stock Market would be extremely likely to have a hefty decline. [-50% peak-to-trough]
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
2/5/2023 • 11 minutes, 16 seconds
Parallel Savings into buckets & wells 230128
Episode 400: There’s no secret to building wealth, it’s a simple formula = earn+save+invest.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
1/28/2023 • 25 minutes, 45 seconds
Housing Sector could be bright spot in 2023 230126
Episode 399: Single family residential real estate should fare much better than most people are expecting and not likely to see a 2008 style price collapse. Industrial real estate should continue to grow at a substantial pace as manufacturing continues to onshore. The negative areas of real estate will likely be brick & mortar retailers, office space and potentially short term vacation type rental properties (Airbnb).
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
1/27/2023 • 16 minutes, 36 seconds
Controlled burn of the economy 230113
Episode 398: The Federal Reserve has been tightening monetary policy to burn off excesses in the economy and given the rebound of unprofitable MEME stocks, I think there’s ample underbrush to scorch.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
1/13/2023 • 12 minutes, 9 seconds
RECESSION- millionaires are pulling back spending 230101
Episode 397: HAPPY NEW YEAR ! The Media is abuzz about the pending recession and how millionaires are pulling back spending and not wasting money. Let me tell you about self-made millionaires…they never waste money. That’s how they became millionaires.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
1/1/2023 • 8 minutes, 53 seconds
Performance improvement- keep a journal 221230
Episode 396: One of the best tips I have for improving your overall success rate is to keep a journal, and use the information for continual improvement.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ------------------------------------------------------
12/30/2022 • 10 minutes
What do you want to do when you grow up? 221223
Episode 395: Want to improve your career satisfaction & compensation? Ask yourself these three questions.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ------------------------------------------------------
12/23/2022 • 11 minutes, 56 seconds
Where to park cash reserves in a turbulent Stock Market 221220
Episode 394: For me and my money, I want liquidity, so I’m using cash equivalent money market funds, which are currently paying at or near 4%. If you don’t have access to a money market fund, other good alternatives are 401k/403b Stable Value Funds or the Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) G Fund.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ------------------------------------------------------
12/20/2022 • 15 minutes, 3 seconds
Declining earnings…Unfavorable valuations 221211
Episode 393: Earnings estimates for 2023 are being revised down sharply and if the Fed’s terminal rate gets to 5%, then valuations are extremely unfordable.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
12/11/2022 • 14 minutes, 42 seconds
2022 Santa Claus rally- 3 key drivers 221204
Episode 392: The seasonal Santa Claus rally is in full effect, but I think two of the three drivers are head fakes.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ------------------------------------------------------
12/4/2022 • 12 minutes, 24 seconds
Recession? Watch for a rise in the unemployment rate 221127
Episode 391: One of the best recession indicators is a rise in the unemployment rate.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
11/27/2022 • 8 minutes, 6 seconds
S&P 500 failed for third time at the 200dma 221121
Episode 390: It’s an ominous sign whenever the Market consistently fails at a declining 200 day moving average.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
11/21/2022 • 17 minutes, 7 seconds
Stock Market failing at old resistance 221031
Episode 389: Of the several factors holding the Market back, I think the most critical is lack of sustainable stock leadership.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ------------------------------------------------------
10/31/2022 • 20 minutes, 31 seconds
Economic Hangover 221008
Episode 388: The economy is hungover from the excesses of the pandemic. Hangovers are painful. They’re not fun. But they’re not fatal.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
10/8/2022 • 21 minutes, 10 seconds
Tripwire triggered selling 221001
Episode 387: A sell tripwire caused me to sell 30% of my portfolio. Here are two charts to explain why.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
10/2/2022 • 25 minutes, 3 seconds
Stock Market CRASH: Buy-Hold-Sell 220924
Episode 386: If you sell, make sure you have a strategy to get back in.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
9/24/2022 • 16 minutes, 15 seconds
Midterm Election Stock Market Rally? 220906
Episode 385: If you were an incumbent politician, wouldn’t you want a strong economy and stock market when you’re running for reelection?
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
9/6/2022 • 8 minutes, 35 seconds
The FED is warning about pain…but for who? 220902
Episode 384: The Federal Reserve is warning about how they’re prepared to cause pain by raising interest rates. The stock market has dropped based on those fears. But ultimately, who will suffer from higher interest rates?
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
9/2/2022 • 13 minutes, 58 seconds
Beware of the MEME stock rebound 220811
Episode 383: The S&P 500 is back in rally mode, retracing more than half of the distance from the Bear market peak-to-trough. I remain cautiously optimistic, but beware of the bounce in highly speculative stocks…eventually fundaments matter.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
8/11/2022 • 12 minutes, 9 seconds
Apprenticeship to wealth 220804
Episode 382: Speaking of apprenticeship, check out my recent visit to the Homesteady homestead:
https://youtu.be/Df5UB7h0Bxg
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
8/4/2022 • 12 minutes, 9 seconds
Investing is like paddling a canoe 220725
Episode 381: The investor sentiment Fear & Greed cycle is comparable to a poorly paddled canoe.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
7/26/2022 • 5 minutes, 35 seconds
Why stock market Fridays are important 220719
Episode 380: How the stock market performs at the end of each week is an important nuanced signal that can indicate investor sentiment.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ------------------------------------------------------
7/19/2022 • 13 minutes, 37 seconds
PMI Growth & 2nd Qtr Earnings 220711
Episode 379: Second quarter earnings will be forthcoming…pay attention to forward earnings estimates, but regardless of what CEOs say, know that June’s PMI indicates an expanding economy.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
7/11/2022 • 8 minutes, 4 seconds
8th Anniversary: Do you want to argue or make money? 220705
Episode 378: Happy 8th anniversary to the Wealthsteading Podcast. In this episode, I sum up the 10 Wealth Building Principles by asking the question: Do you want to argue or make money?Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
7/6/2022 • 10 minutes, 54 seconds
Retracement & Resistance Levels 220629
Episode 377: Fear & Greed move the stock market on a daily basis. The cycle can be illustrated on a stock chart by observing retracement along levels of support and resistance. Currently the S&P 500 is hitting its first resistance level since the bottom on June 16. “Get Back Sellers” are exiting the Market.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
6/29/2022 • 16 minutes, 52 seconds
Blood in the streets of the Magic Kingdom & everywhere else 220616
Episode 376: The Markets might have finally hit selloff capitulation.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
6/16/2022 • 3 minutes, 18 seconds
Investor Attitudes that separate Winners from Losers 220609
Episode 375: There are three investor attitudes that separate the Winners from the Losers.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
6/9/2022 • 15 minutes, 49 seconds
Conflation of fears drives extreme negative investor sentiment 220605
Episode 374: Investor sentiment is extremely negative. I believe the panic is unwarranted. Fears from the Ukraine situation are being conflated with issues from the Pandemic that have already been resolved or mitigated. Much of our problems are due to “policies”, and as we’ve recently seen with NATO, long established policies can be quickly reversed.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
Episode 373: The Stock Market has been selling off for 6 weeks...here's what I'm doing.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
5/14/2022 • 33 minutes, 21 seconds
Global Economic Choke Points 220506
Episode 372: There’s a global economic crisis but it might be a windfall for the USA.
Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
5/7/2022 • 1 minute
RECESSION? Road Trip Economic Indicator 220505
Episode 371: Consumers haven’t run out of money yet.
Sign up for my free ALERTs & Market Commentary at: https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/
------------------------------------------------------
5/5/2022 • 59 seconds
NETFLIX crash reveals myth of first mover advantage
Episode 370: NETFLIX’s crash shows that: 1) stay-at-home stocks still have further to drop & 2) first-mover advantage doesn’t justify extreme valuations.
------------------------------------------------------
4/20/2022 • 5 minutes, 26 seconds
Products recession…Services BOOM !
Episode 369: Is there a pending recession? Yes, probably in the “products” side of the economy, but the “services” side of the economy has yet to fully bloom. Think in-person experiences, travel, leisure…regardless of interest rates, that sector is BOOMING!
------------------------------------------------------
4/16/2022 • 6 minutes, 57 seconds
Five cheap old stodgy stocks
Episode 368: Value is a better word than cheap, but it isn’t as good of an attention getter. Here are five large cap stocks that I own and I believe they are valuable because they have a favorable price to future growth ratio: GE, GS, IBM, MU & SCHW.
------------------------------------------------------
4/12/2022 • 8 minutes, 58 seconds
Four Specialty Stocks that no one’s heard of
Episode 367: The markets remain volatile but there are still plenty of stocks that I like, including these four stocks that I’ve owned for over a year: FLS, ITGR, MHH & VPG.
------------------------------------------------------
4/12/2022 • 3 minutes, 19 seconds
S&P 500 at support while volatility spikes
Episode 366: The S&P 500 is sitting on very strong support at the convergence of its 100dma & 200dma but this week volatility spiked back up…should you be concerned?
------------------------------------------------------
4/8/2022 • 8 minutes, 11 seconds
Suddenly…everyone loves TWITTER
Episode 365: Two thoughts on how to invest without reacting to every kneejerk headline or avoiding what you personally don’t like.
------------------------------------------------------
4/5/2022 • 2 minutes, 58 seconds
PARODY: How to invest $1000 to make Quick & Easy money
Episode 364: PARODY- Happy April Fools’ Day
------------------------------------------------------
4/1/2022 • 11 minutes, 15 seconds
Inverted Yield Curve predicted 9 of last 2 Recessions
Episode 363: Recessions generally follow an inverted yield curve, but not every inverted yield curve proceeds a recession.
------------------------------------------------------
4/1/2022 • 7 minutes, 57 seconds
Why bond funds are losing money
Episode 362: Contrary to the Wall Street myth, bonds and specifically bond funds are not “safe”. There are a number of risk factors, and today’s dominant risk is a rising interest rate environment.
------------------------------------------------------
3/28/2022 • 15 minutes, 7 seconds
Oil prices causing demand destruction muted by wealth effect
Episode 361: Consumer demand destruction is likely to be muted because households have significant amounts of wealth in their home and stock portfolio.
------------------------------------------------------
3/23/2022 • 9 minutes, 30 seconds
PARODY: The good times are over for good
Episode 360: PARODY- Today on my birthday, join me in a sarcastic cynical reflection of the good old days of an America that’s gone forever.
------------------------------------------------------
3/22/2022 • 7 minutes, 45 seconds
What’s the Petrodollar? A myth
Episode 359: The petrodollar scare tactic is circulating again. Hide your wife…hide your kids !
------------------------------------------------------
3/20/2022 • 12 minutes, 51 seconds
What’s really causing inflation?
Episode 358: Inflation isn’t synonymous with Higher Prices. If the FED isn’t fully responsible for higher prices, they also can’t be the sole source of the solution.
------------------------------------------------------
3/19/2022 • 15 minutes, 36 seconds
The time to buy Oil stocks was 2 years ago
Episode 357: I wouldn’t recommend rushing out and chasing the headlines…I’m preparing to buy what everyone else doesn’t like.
------------------------------------------------------
3/14/2022 • 9 minutes, 14 seconds
Absolutely nothing about Ukraine or Russia
Episode 356: Ignore the crisis du jour, and fortify your portfolio with quality, diversification, and especially US equities.
------------------------------------------------------
3/4/2022 • 17 minutes, 54 seconds
My stock just crashed…what do I do now?
Episode 355: How should you handle an individual stock collapse? In this episode I’ll discuss how I’m dealing with a 80% loss in SelectQuote.
------------------------------------------------------
2/18/2022 • 27 minutes, 38 seconds
Tech Stock RALLY or dead cat bounce?
Episode 354: The Media narrative about Tech Stocks is flawed…there hasn’t been a major selloff nor is there currently a relief rally occurring. The QQQ has only been up about 8% over the past 12 months; while the Energy Sector has been up over 60%. The clear winning sector over the long and short term has been ENERGY.
------------------------------------------------------
2/7/2022 • 7 minutes, 33 seconds
Listener Questions
Episode 353: Listener questions- Chinese Stocks, Tech Stocks, 2022 Outlook, Portfolio Management, Swing Trading and more.
------------------------------------------------------
2/2/2022 • 37 minutes, 36 seconds
Goldman Sachs poster stock for VALUE
Episode 352: Goldman Sachs stock price took a big dive today, as did the entire stock market. But GS, like other high quality companies are extremely profitable with very reasonable valuations. In my opinion the current volatility in the stock market is not a time to panic but a time to buy quality stocks.
------------------------------------------------------
1/18/2022 • 10 minutes, 58 seconds
2022 Volatile & Profitable
Episode 351: The way that 2022 is beginning is likely the way it will end…volatile & profitable. In this episode I discuss why I believe that stock valuations can support further growth in the economy and the stock market.
------------------------------------------------------
1/17/2022 • 20 minutes, 7 seconds
Beware daily balance watching
Episode 350: One of the worst investing mistakes you can make is obsessing over your daily portfolio balance. Wealth building is a marathon, not a sprint. Focusing on day-to-day market variations will likely cause you to make poor decisions based on emotions, rather than logical long term fundamentals.
TIME SENSITIVE ANNOUNCEMENT:
Today at 5pm eastern, I’ll be prognosticating about 2022 on a live stream episode of UnLoose the Goose. You can tune in live to ask questions or watch the replay at:
https://youtu.be/mxsDz-T2qLs
Best returns !
------------------------------------------------------
12/29/2021 • 12 minutes, 1 second
How Morse Code made me rich
Episode 349: Don’t underestimate the value of a hobby.
------------------------------------------------------
12/21/2021 • 16 minutes
Value Stocks I purchased during this dip
Episode 348: Here’s the video were I describe how the Small Cap index has been trading in a defined range all year long:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zqKjPEJgeDU
And here’s the link to the 62 stocks that I recently reinvested in:
https://www.investablewealth.com/reinvesting-in-these-stocks/
------------------------------------------------------
12/18/2021 • 17 minutes, 4 seconds
Apology and Seasonal Message
Episode 347: A portion of this episode is an audio replay from a video recorded on 3/21/2020:
https://youtu.be/CVR5l-topvs
------------------------------------------------------
12/5/2021 • 11 minutes, 47 seconds
Black Friday SELLOFF…FED will never raise interest rates
Episode 346: I’m not at all concerned about the stock market selloff that happened on Black Friday. In fact, the rally will likely continue even longer, because now the FED will be more hesitant to raise interest rates.
In this episode I discuss the two primary drivers of COVID inflation…and neither have anything to do with FED monetary policy. This temporary, transient inflation is being caused by:
lack of ImmigrationInheritance…the greatest generational transfer of wealth in history.
------------------------------------------------------
11/28/2021 • 12 minutes, 18 seconds
Peloton vs SelectQuote…buy the dip?
Episode 345: Both Peloton and SelectQuote are down by nearly 70%. Is this a good entry point to buy the dip or should you avoid trying to catch a falling knife?
------------------------------------------------------
11/17/2021 • 14 minutes, 6 seconds
GDP down…Stocks up
Episode 344: Stocks are at record highs at the same time that 3rd Qtr GDP was way below estimates. Join me today as I discuss free market economics along with a stock market review.
------------------------------------------------------
11/3/2021 • 13 minutes, 12 seconds
$2 Million Retirement Portfolio
Episode 343: Retirement is like taking a vacation, you should pack half the clothes and twice the money you’ll think you’ll need.
------------------------------------------------------
10/24/2021 • 7 minutes, 17 seconds
VERIZON bottom fishing for dividends
Episode 342: Everyone hates Verizon (VZ)...now might be a good time to buy it.
------------------------------------------------------
10/16/2021 • 9 minutes, 14 seconds
Assets beat INFLATION
Episode 341: If you own appreciating assets then you’re not only keeping up with inflation, you’re profiting from inflation.
------------------------------------------------------
10/15/2021 • 14 minutes, 45 seconds
Stock Market is in ROTATION not CORRECTION
Episode 340: There wasn’t a stock market correction in September and I think it’s highly unlikely there will be one in October. In this episode I’ll highlight names of companies that I own that have done well during this period of “seasonal volatility”.
------------------------------------------------------
10/10/2021 • 17 minutes, 4 seconds
Positive Harbinger: Hotel Stocks are OUTPERFORMING
Episode 339: My mantra hasn’t changed…buy the dip. In this episode I’ll discuss positive harbingers for the stock market, including how hotel stocks like Hilton and Marriott are outperforming the general stock market.
------------------------------------------------------
9/22/2021 • 16 minutes, 41 seconds
Inevitable Sep/Oct Stock Market Crash?
Episode 338: The media narrative this month is that a September or October stock market correction is inevitable. Maybe…maybe not.
------------------------------------------------------
9/14/2021 • 14 minutes, 28 seconds
FED Tapering is just talk
Episode 337: The title says it all. When the Federal Reserve starts to taper their monthly bond purchases, it doesn't mean they'll actually start to retire debt and reduce their balance sheet.
------------------------------------------------------
8/25/2021 • 8 minutes, 59 seconds
Buy Signal: RUSSELL2000 bounces off 200 day moving average
Episode 336: Small Caps & ReOpening Trade stocks have been underperforming…but I remain optimistic and continue to “buy the dip”. The two factors that are driving the most fear right now are mutually exclusive- 1) ReOpening slowdown due to COVID Delta Variant & 2) Federal Reserve tightening the money supply by tapering next month. Logic dictates that these two events can’t happen simultaneously, because if the economy is slowing, then the FED won’t taper.
------------------------------------------------------
8/21/2021 • 8 minutes, 52 seconds
5 ReOpening stocks at a buy point
Episode 335: These 5 stocks have been part of my COVID90 ReOpening trade since Oct 2020, they’ve done extremely well, but because of concerns over the Delta Variant they’ve recently pulled back. Based on their chart patterns, I think they’re at good entry level buy points. LYFT; EVENTBRITE; TRIPADVISOR; TRIVAGO & MAGNITE.
Pay attention to the RATIONALE of why I own these stocks and how I focused on DIGITIZATION rather than traditional capital intensive travel companies like Airlines & Cruise Ships.
------------------------------------------------------
8/10/2021 • 6 minutes, 10 seconds
S&P500 at record high with limited upside…but underlying opportunity still thrives
Episode 334: Since August 2020 the S&P 500 has climbed a COVID wall of worry consistently putting in new record highs. I expect that to continue, with temporary bouts of turbulence, along with limited upside potential as we close out 2021. However, I think vast amounts of opportunity still exist in the more value oriented, cyclical and ReOpening favored stocks that have taken a dip on fears of COVID Variants. In this episode I’ll also discuss the difference between investing and speculation.
------------------------------------------------------
8/7/2021 • 17 minutes, 8 seconds
I still like Oil Stocks
Episode 333: I think Oil stocks have farther to run as the threat of COVID Variants subsides. In this episode I mention my Oil positions.
------------------------------------------------------
7/28/2021 • 12 minutes, 21 seconds
Wells Fargo ending Personal Line of Credit Loans…SO WHAT???
Episode 332: Don’t fall for the hysteria that Wells Fargo’s recent action to end personal lines of credit loans is the “tip of the iceberg” and that the US banking system is about to collapse. It’s all nonsense designed to fool the gullible.
------------------------------------------------------
7/18/2021 • 13 minutes, 31 seconds
How to deal with Envious Karens
Episode 331: Throughout your life, you’re going to deal with people that try to stop or inhibit your progression. Whether it’s advancement in your career, your wealth journey, or simply in your efforts to improve yourself. I call these people “Envious Karens”; those type people that just can’t mind their own business.
In this episode I give you a recent real life example of someone successfully overcoming KAREN imposed roadblocks. His name is Matthew Sercely, he’s a tax advisor and you can find him at:
https://www.agoristtaxadvice.com/
------------------------------------------------------
7/17/2021 • 10 minutes, 53 seconds
DIVERSIFICATION: COVID90 Portfolio isn’t COVID10 for a reason
Episode 330: I believe the best way to build & preserve your wealth is through Diversification and Active Portfolio Management.
------------------------------------------------------
7/13/2021 • 18 minutes, 5 seconds
Covid Variant Boogeyman: buy the dip opportunity
Episode 329: The latest Media driven fear factor is that variants of Covid will squelch the economic recovery. I think the anxiety will be short lived, just like last month’s propaganda about hyperinflation.
NOTE to the Inflation Distraught: 10 Year Treasuries have dropped down to 1.3%, hardly an indicator of rampant inflation.
------------------------------------------------------
7/7/2021 • 6 minutes, 38 seconds
Net Worth = FREEDOM
Episode 328: Happy Independent Day as we celebrate the 7th anniversary of the Wealthsteading Podcast. In this episode I’ll touch on the most important Wealth Building Principles ( https://www.wealthsteading.com/category/wealth-building-principle/ ) and I’ll focus on the importance of NET WORTH and how that relates to the 1st Wealth Building Principle ( https://www.wealthsteading.com/1 ): Wealth is FREEDOM.
------------------------------------------------------
7/5/2021 • 17 minutes, 50 seconds
Wage Inflation benefits the PRODUCTIVE
Episode 327: Wage inflation is good for those that are productive. That’s because inflation is price beneficial to all appreciating assets, which includes productive employees and companies.
If you’re a quality high performing employee, then you should be using the pressures of wage inflation to secure a pay raise. But you probably won’t get it unless you ASK for it. So make sure your achievements are being recognized and then aggressively ask for the pay increase that you rightly deserve.
For more information about getting RECOGNIZED as an employee or small business, please listen to my recent interview with Nicole at the Living Free in Tennessee Podcast: https://www.livingfreeintennessee.com/2021/05/12/get-recognized-with-john-pugliano/
------------------------------------------------------
6/11/2021 • 23 minutes, 45 seconds
FED won’t stop 2021 Stock Market RALLY
Episode 326: The subtitle to this episode could be: Why lumber prices are so high but timber prices are so low.
Bottom line, the media narrative of hyperinflation is much ado about nothing.
Over the short term, I don’t see the FED raising interest rates nor curtailing easy monetary policy. Transitory inflation is being caused by short term shortages, not long lasting scarcity.
The “experts” were wrong in 2018 when they said the “inverted yield curve” would cause a recession, and they’re wrong now about hyperinflation.
For a historical perspective, listen to this episode from October 2018: https://www.wealthsteading.com/276
------------------------------------------------------
Episode 325: A lot of the financial news coverage is negative focusing on shortages and price & wage inflation. But technically I think the major indexes are performing well and a great deal of opportunity still exists in the ReOpening Stocks.
------------------------------------------------------
5/12/2021 • 19 minutes, 23 seconds
Why you keep missing opportunities in the stock market
Episode 324: In this episode we’ll look at current market conditions in light of investor psychology and especially drill down into the reasons why YOU keeping missing opportunities in the stock market.
------------------------------------------------------
4/20/2021 • 21 minutes, 13 seconds
Tech Unwind is continuing to create opportunity in the ReOpening stocks
Episode 323: As we see the Markets sell off from the COVID19 Tech Unwind and rotation out of Stay-at-Home stocks, I’m buying the dip, and remain extremely optimistic about the ReOpening Trade.
------------------------------------------------------
3/1/2021 • 25 minutes, 45 seconds
DiD yOu MisS tHE pOSt-eleCtIOn StOcK mARkeT RaLlY?
Episode 322: Did you miss the post-election stock market rally? Well, the easy money has already been made, but there are still MANY opportunities. In this episode I discuss potential that still exist in the COVID90 portfolio.
------------------------------------------------------
12/13/2020 • 15 minutes, 26 seconds
My portfolio for a post-COVID stock market recovery
Episode 321: COVID 2nd Wave & Election volatility are hitting the markets again. So is this a time to panic or buy?
I can’t tell you what to do, but in this episode I explain what I’m calling my COVID90 portfolio. These are the 90 individual stocks that I’ve purchased for the inevitable post-COVID recovery.
------------------------------------------------------
11/2/2020 • 28 minutes, 25 seconds
Market rally failed again…is it going lower?
Episode 320: The rotation rally looks like it has fizzled. The S&P 500 keeps failing at its 50dma. That’s a good indication that the market is headed lower.
------------------------------------------------------
9/23/2020 • 4 minutes, 53 seconds
Is the Stock Market in a CORRECTION or ROTATION?
Episode 319: The stock market has fallen for three straight weeks. There are mixed signals that this selloff could simply be a Rotation out of overbought Tech stocks and into Value and Cyclicals.
On the other hand, with over 41% of the S&P 500 already in a Bear market, maybe the Correction has just begun.
------------------------------------------------------
Episode 318: Listener Questions:
Is it time to buy oil stocks?Why don’t you talk about penny stocks?What happens when a stock is delisted?What is a reverse stock split?Should I contribute to an IRA or a ROTH?What is a good investment book to read?When should you sell a stock?What is a Protective Put?Cash vs Cash Equivalent Fund vs Short Term Bond FundTerminology
------------------------------------------------------
9/9/2020 • 24 minutes, 20 seconds
National Debt: is the US bankrupt?
Episode 317: The national debt is at astronomical levels, the deficit is larger than tax revenues, the Chinese are dumping Treasuries, the FED is creating trillions of dollars out of thin air…I’m not concerned. The US can handle the current debt load.
In this episode, I discussed the realities and the myths of the national debt.
My solution is to stop worrying about things outside of your influence and focus on building your personal wealth. You do that by owning appreciating assets and not worry about the monetary unit of measure.
------------------------------------------------------
9/9/2020 • 24 minutes, 34 seconds
September swoon…how low can it go?
Episode 316: The market took a big tumble today. Is this just a normal September swoon? Or are we headed for a more drastic correction?
------------------------------------------------------
9/4/2020 • 19 minutes, 48 seconds
My Grandfather: a legacy of resilience, perseverance & faith
Episode 315: In this episode I celebrate the 6th anniversary of the Wealthsteading Podcast with a special story about my grandfather’s remarkable life. He was an amazing man that faced insurmountable obstacles but he never faltered. As an immigrant, in poverty, fighting through WWI trench warfare, surviving as a prisoner of war, enduring the Great Depression…he overcame every obstacle that was placed before him. His life is a legacy of hard work, resilience, perseverance, and faith.
------------------------------------------------------
8/6/2020 • 33 minutes, 38 seconds
Reasons for prudent investing during this VOLATILE transition
Episode 314: The Market has been incredibly resilient over the past month but I believe it could easily stumble into a rapid decline if investor sentiment turns sour. In this episode I discuss the rationale for prudent investing and give specific examples of why I recently purchasing Tyson Foods and also lessons learned from swing trading the Great Recession of 2008.
-----
6/30/2020 • 22 minutes, 12 seconds
RIOTs & 100k+ COVID Deaths…drive the market higher
Episode 313: The COVID death toll is over 100K, unemployment is nearing 20%, and protesters are rioting and burning the cities…yet the stock market keeps going up.
Will this rebound rally continue? Or are we headed for a major downturn this summer? I’m concerned that just as the market was oversold with COVID hysteria, now there’s irrational exuberance about the re-opening of the economy.
-----
6/2/2020 • 9 minutes, 53 seconds
5 Dumbest Listener Questions
Episode 312: TRIGGER WARNING: This episode may offend some listeners…especially those of you that ask DUMB questions. Bottom line…this episode focuses on the fundamentals of building wealth: Earn/Save/Invest.
-----
5/5/2020 • 25 minutes, 46 seconds
CRISIS Portfolio Re-balancing Strategy
Episode 311: In this episode I discuss how I’m planning to re-balance my portfolio to take advantage of what I believe will be an inevitable recovery.
-----
4/20/2020 • 22 minutes, 16 seconds
STRATEGIC INVESTING: Covid-19 is NEUTRON bombing the economy
Episode 310: In this episode I compare Covid-19 to a neutron bomb that kills people but doesn’t destroy infrastructure. The devastation is massive, but short-lived because CONSUMPTION is DEFERRED, not DESTROYED.
-----
3/28/2020 • 14 minutes, 19 seconds
Dividend Paying Stocks produce during a Bear Market
Episode 309: Dividend
paying stocks keep producing an income, even when the stock market is down.
-----