Podcast from the Creditflux editorial team discussing global credit funds and CLOs.
The Last Tranche with Octagon's Lam: CLO equity makes sense again
In this episode of The Last Tranche Gretchen Lam, CEO of Octagon Credit Investors, discusses whether investing in third-party CLO equity makes sense again.
1/31/2024 • 18 minutes, 43 seconds
The Last Tranche with New Mountain's Kline and Moshiri
The Last Tranche with New Mountain's Kline and Moshiri: we have more flexibility than a typical CLO around industry selectionIn this episode of the Last Tranche, John Kline and Cyrus Moshiri from New Mountain Capital discuss the innovative rated feeder fund structure they recently priced, and why they chose this approach over a traditional middle market CLO.After explaining the details of how rated feeder funds like Guardian IV Rated Feeder work, Kline explained that one key benefit is of the structure is the increased flexibility it offers on industry diversity. Their chosen structure is a CLO-like product, but that lets them pursue their investment strategy without having to be forced into industries that we don't like as a firm.
10/11/2023 • 16 minutes, 35 seconds
The Last Tranche with Pearl Diver's Layton: its not about tiering, its about portfolio construction
In this episode of The Last Tranche, Matt Layton, partner and head of Europe at Pearl Diver Capital, discusses strategies for investing in CLO debt and equity amid the recent rally in liabilities.Layton says that analysing a manager's past behaviour is a better predictor of CLO equity returns than how a manager is tiered by the debt markets. He adds that some of the tier one managers have shown that they can be prone to sell loans too quickly during recent periods of volatility, which has caused those firms to lose their arbitrage faster than other managers.Layton goes on to draw parallels between today's CLO market and the vintage of deals priced in 2006 to 2007, where equity cashflows were paused during the financial crisis. When spread widening occurred on the asset side (due to amend and extend activity pushing back 2010 maturity dates) equity returns were outsized once the CLOs came back into compliance with their tests. Layton forecasts a similar market technical to play out in the next several years.Layton also discusses the investment opportunity in the US versus Europe, and how he expects the deterioration in credit quality, owing to higher interest rates, playing out amid forecasts that the US is no longer headed into a recession.
8/10/2023 • 30 minutes, 16 seconds
The Last Tranche with Sound Point's Desai: the wrong CLO equity investment strategies will see negative returns
In this episode of The Last Tranche, Ujjaval Desai, head of structured products investing at Sound Point Capital Management, shares his ideas about the investment opportunity across the CLO equity universe.Desai says that the best strategies for investing in CLO equity could see returns of up to 20%, but on the other hand, firms that fail to make careful investment decisions could see negative returns.Desai speaks to the various characteristics of CLOs that impact eventual returns including manager strategies, deal vintage, the source of equity capital and more. He also speaks to some of the trends impacting the loan and CLO markets today, noting that the leveraged loan market has actually shrunk for the first time in 2023.
5/12/2023 • 30 minutes, 24 seconds
The Last Tranche with Eagle Point's Ko: We haven't made a primary CLO equity investment in nine months
In this episode of The Last Tranche, Dan Ko, principal and portfolio manager at Eagle Point Credit Management, discusses the relative value opportunity in the CLO market.Ko says that his firm has not made a primary market investment in CLO equity since early 2022, in part because the tightness of the equity arbitrage means investors can get higher yields in the debt stack.Even triple A notes offer more attractive yields than some equity investments, Ko says. Ko also speaks to the cessation of Libor, given the approach of the base rate's cessation in June.
4/27/2023 • 24 minutes, 18 seconds
The Last Tranche with Blackstone's Zable: regional banking volatility could lead to tighter triple A pricing in CLOs
In this episode of the Last Tranche, Robert Zable, global head of Blackstone's liquid credit strategies, discusses the fallout of the regional banking crisis sparked by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank on the CLO market.Zable says that the volatile period in March saw deposits shift from smaller regional banks to the large institutions that historically were larger investors in CLOs, a trend which could lead to tighter triple A debt pricing as these banks look to invest this capital.Zable also discusses the current opportunity within CLO management in the wake of last month's events. He speaks to the trend of consolidation within the CLO manager base, and addresses what factors can constrain a manager's ability to issue CLOs given the current volatile backdrop.
4/17/2023 • 18 minutes, 29 seconds
The Last Tranche with Octaura's Bejile: most mutual funds regard loans as illiquid because of long settlements
In this episode of The Last Tranche, Brian Bejile, founder and CEO of Octaura, discusses the latest developments towards electrification in the loan and CLO asset classes.Bejile draws from his own experience as a trader to highlight some of the inefficiencies that result from manually trading assets, including human error mistakes and loan settlement times. He discusses the early stages of setting up Octaura, and onboarding the major investment banks in his bid to change the way the market trades.#CLO #Creditflux #Octaura
2/10/2023 • 26 minutes, 27 seconds
The Last Tranche with MidOcean's Rotondo: retail bid is the wildcard in leveraged loan market
In this episode of the Last Tranche, Joe Rotondo, senior portfolio manager on the credit investments team at MidOcean Partners, looks back on a turbulent year for the leveraged loan asset class.Rotondo discusses the key trends and moments that influenced the loan market through the last 12 months through to the present day, from the general bullishness at the start of the year, to the downturn over the summer and the slowdown in new issue supply. He identifies the key lessons the market can take from the events of the year, and looks at both the headwinds and tailwinds in place for loan investors looking into 2023.#CLO, #leveragedloan, #MidOcean
12/6/2022 • 19 minutes, 17 seconds
The Last Tranche with AlbaCore's Cohen Malka: The UK gilts crisis showed the CLO market is more liquid than people thought
In this episode of The Last Tranche, Deborah Cohen Malka, partner and portfolio manager at AlbaCore Capital Group, discusses the performance and challenges facing the European CLO market.Cohen Malka says that assets and liabilities in European CLOs are in a delicate balance, where the pricing of a single new issue CLO raises loan prices to the extent that other new CLOs become uneconomic.She also speaks to the impact of Russia's invasion of Ukraine on credit markets, and how the energy crisis is impacting credit quality. Cohen Malka also explains the sovereign debt crisis in the United Kingdom, and says the episode provided an opportunity for investors to take advantage of pension funds forced selling of CLO triple A notes.#CLO, #Creditflux, #AlbaCore
11/14/2022 • 20 minutes, 39 seconds
The Last Tranche with Bain's Wright: We're likely to see manager consolidation as the benefits of scale come to bear
In this episode of The Last Tranche, Bain Capital Credit managing director John Wright discusses the manager landscape in the CLO market.Wright talks about the importance of a CLO manager's role in the performance of the asset class. Whether a manager is a small or large firm, whether a manager has a captive equity fund or syndicates, or whether a manager has an aggressive or conservative investment strategy, will impact the outlook of any individual CLO.Wright also discusses the recent trend of consolidation in the CLO manager base, and argues that we're likely to see more buyouts in the near-term while longer term new managers are likely to continue to emerge.CLO, Creditflux, The Last Tranche
11/2/2022 • 18 minutes, 52 seconds
The Last Tranche with Octagon's Nechamkin: Investors were selling the larger loans that were easier to sell
In this episode of the Last Tranche, Mike Nechamkin, chief investment officer and senior portfolio manager at Octagon Credit Investors, discusses the reasons behind the recovery in loan prices in recent weeks.He says that there has been a fair amount of dispersion in US loans. Although the US loan index was down 400 basis points at the end of June, smaller borrowers (loans of less than $500 million) outperformed, dropping about 300bp compared to roughly 540bp for the largest loan issuers. CLO managers seeking to print and sprint were able to pick up some of these larger loans (which had dropped only because they were the most liquid) at attractive levels. Print and sprint, says Nechamkin, is no longer a niche strategy as it was several years ago. A few managers employed this tactic in 2020 and its use has been more widespread this year. Nechamkin says the market is still pricing in risk and managers are still defensive in their investing, but both the technical and fundamental picture has improved over the last month.
8/22/2022 • 19 minutes, 11 seconds
The Last Tranche with Sycamore Tree's Parker: It's a question of when, not if, a recession hits the US economy
In this episode of the Last Tranche, Trey Parker, co-founder and chief investment officer at Sycamore Tree Capital Partners, discusses the optimal way for a CLO manager to invest through an economic downturn#CLO, #Creditflux
6/30/2022 • 21 minutes, 47 seconds
The Last Tranche with CVC's Bergstresser: the CLO market will continue to function amid Ukraine crisis
The Last Tranche with Napier Park's Secmen: Tailwinds fuelling the CLO market are masking manager incompetence
11/29/2021 • 38 minutes, 1 second
The Last Tranche with New Mountain's Moshiri: New CLO managers may increase risk if they do not have stable equity capital
#CLO, #leveragedloan, #newmountaincapital
11/3/2021 • 23 minutes, 9 seconds
The Last Tranche with Capital Four's Skødeberg and Wiant: 26% of new European loans have ESG-linked margin ratchet, and the US could follow fast
Torben Skødeberg, CFA, Jim Wiant, #CLOs #ESG, #structuredcredit #leveragedloans
10/13/2021 • 35 minutes, 23 seconds
The Last Tranche with Bardin Hill's Raciti: For-profit prisons are classified as construction and have some of the best ESG scores
CLO, Leveragedloans, Bardin Hill Investment Partners
9/27/2021 • 24 minutes, 37 seconds
The Last Tranche with Tetragon's Michalczuk and Pang: Every missed quarterly payment can reduce CLO equity IRRs by up to 100bp
#Tetragon Financial Group, #CLO, #leveraged loans
8/24/2021 • 28 minutes, 21 seconds
The Last Tranche with Antares' Seth Painter: we could start to see syndicated middle market CLO equity
Antares Capital, CLO, Private Credit
8/4/2021 • 22 minutes, 51 seconds
The Last Tranche with Carlyle's Basmadjian: We are in the expansion phase of a new credit cycle
#CLO #Carlyle #TheLastTranche #Creditflux
7/19/2021 • 23 minutes, 14 seconds
The Last Tranche with Pretium's Goss: Airlines are the barometer for the reopening trade
#CLO, #Leveragedloans, Pretium
6/28/2021 • 23 minutes, 21 seconds
The Last Tranche with Hildene's Jain: Cirque Du Soleil shows CLOs do not have to lose out in a restructuring
#CLO, #Creditflux, #Hildene
6/8/2021 • 26 minutes, 7 seconds
The Last Tranche with Sancus's Chernova: most CLO trades are still conducted in an extremely inefficient manner
#CLO, #Creditflux, #Sancus
5/18/2021 • 27 minutes, 1 second
The Last Tranche with CIFC's Huang: CLO valuations are often based on unreliable data
#CLO #Creditflux #CIFC
4/21/2021 • 24 minutes, 10 seconds
The Last Tranche with Sound Point's Ketchum: CLOs have fortress-like capital structures
In this episode of The Last Tranche, Creditflux's Hugh Minch and Sound Point Capital Management's Stephen Ketchum discuss the macro-picture for the US credit markets and who should be on the lookout for inflation
2/11/2021 • 34 minutes, 24 seconds
The Last Tranche with Flat Rock's Bates: mid-market CLO equity proves advantageous in crisis
In this episode of The Last Tranche, Creditflux's Hugh Minch sits down with Flat Rock Global managing director Shiloh Bates. Topics include launching a new CLO fund, the advantage of middle market CLOs in a crisis, and how some risk retention fund investors' equity positions have underperformed.
This edition of The Last Tranche is made in association with Flat Rock, who's Flat Rock Opportunity Fund was named Best CLO Fund at the Creditflux Manager Awards 2020.
8/20/2020 • 30 minutes, 1 second
The Last Tranche with Guggenheim's Duffy: CLOs will pay more for loans than today’s index prices
Marking the long-awaited return of the Last Tranche podcast, Creditflux's Hugh Minch talks to Adrian Duffy, head of European corporate credit at Guggenheim Investments in Dublin. Topics include life under lockdown, tackling the challenges of managing CLO portfolios since the March sell-off, as well as the outlook for loan buying in a market that is "technically driven, not fundamentally driven".
This edition of The Last Tranche is in association with Guggenheim, which was named Best European boutique CLO manager at the Creditflux Manager Awards 2020